Sunday, January 18, 2009

Getting Ahead of Myself

Let's say for the sake of argument that I don't eat today and weigh 219 tonight, which seems plausible at least. That'd mean I lost about 10 lbs in a week -- while also having lost momentum over the weekend (and recovering some of it at the last moment).

Getting ahead of myself, my Q is what prediction would I make for week two, assuming another near-fast week at least as disciplined as week #1?
  • Empirically week one of any kind of push shows dramatically better results than any subsequent week.
  • And my assumption is that much if not most of the initial loss is water/sodium-related.
  • Math would indicate that without exercise I should only lose about two-thirds of a pound per day on a TOTAL fast, so 4+ lbs. On a near-fast I'd expect more like 2-3 probably. (I'm not crazy about math, but he can be a good friend in certain pinches.)
So summing all of that up I guess it would be remarkable if I could even lose 5 lbs in week 2. However P!x seems to be losing a steady 6-8, essentially a pound a day. He's likely to be in the 218-220 range Wed night.

So I really want to be 218 tonight. And I need to be setting my sights on 210. Maybe a fast would be easier than a near-fast.

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